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MARTIN GROVE'S HOLLYWOOD REPORT -- 12/24/17


 

MARTIN GROVE'S HOLLYWOOD REPORT FOR 12/24/17

 

Holiday hits are making up for last summer's boxoffice drought.

 

Disney's "STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI" will do about $100.7M through Christmas, making its domestic cume about $397.3M, per comScore. Sony's "JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE" opened Wednesday to about $64M (6 days). Universal's "PITCH PERFECT 3" (pictured) opened Friday to about $27M (4 days). Fox's "THE GREATEST SHOWMAN" opened Wednesday to about $18.2M (6 days).

 

Disney said "JEDI's" holiday gross will "place it as the #3 release of 2017 after only 11 days of playtime." Disney has 3 of 2017's top 4 domestic releases: "BEAUTY AND THE BEAST' (#1), "JEDI" (#3) and "GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2" (#4).

 

comScore's Paul Dergarabedian noted, "Combined with an estimated international cume of $380.3M (including an estimated 3-day international weekend of $75.1M), 'JEDI's' estimated global cume stands at $745.4M through Sunday."

 

Moviegoing's holiday boost should help 2017 crack $11B. 2016 was a record setting year with $11.4B.

 

Last weekend's three day ticket sales of $175M, per comScore, were down 3.5% from 2016's $181.3M. comScore said 2017 through Sunday is down 2.6% vs. off 2.9% a week ago.

 

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Of the many groups that influence Oscar voters, the London Critics Circle isn't one that appears likely to have a big impact -- but there's more here than meets the eye.

 

Last week the LCC gave 7 noms to "THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI," 6 to "PHANTOM THREAD" and 5 each to "CALL ME BY YOUR NAME" and "DUNKIRK" (pictured – nominated director Christopher Nolan). The London critics may not be on most Academy members' radar, but British Academy members certainly are aware of them.

 

The timing's right for LCC noms to influence the Brits' BAFTA voting. LCC noms were Dec. 19. BAFTA noms voting is from Dec. 15 - Jan. 3. Final BAFTA voting starts Jan. 9 (when BAFTA noms are announced) and ends Feb. 8. So with LCC announcing wins Jan. 28, there's plenty of time for BAFTA voters to consider the results.

 

LCC's potential impact on Oscar voting is through the crossover membership of about 500 voters between our Academy and the British Academy. BAFTA winners will be announced Feb. 18 – with final Oscar voting from Feb. 20-27. The crossover British vote is one more factor that may help shape the outcome of the 90th Oscars on Mar. 4.