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MARTIN GROVE'S HOLLYWOOD REPORT -- SUMMER SUMMARY -- 8/29/16


 
CAPTAIN AMERICA CIVIL WAR - CAPTAIN AMERICA V IRON MAN

CAPTAIN AMERICA CIVIL WAR - CAPTAIN AMERICA V IRON MAN

FINDING DORY

FINDING DORY

THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS

THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS

MARTIN GROVE'S HOLLYWOOD REPORT --

SUMMER SUMMARY -- 8/29/16

 

Summer summary: Summer ends with Labor Day weekend, but what happens between now and then won't make a big difference in this summer's boxoffice statistics.

When the summer dust settles, Hollywood is likely to have generated about $4.2 billion in domestic ticket sales. That would be down about 6 percent from last summer's boxoffice total of $4.5 billion, which was the second best summer ever. The biggest summer domestic total was $4.7 billion in 2013.

This summer didn't boast an ultra-blockbuster like 2015's "Jurassic World," which did $652.3 million domestically. And with some recent big budget high profile under-performers, there's been plenty of doom-and-gloom media coverage.

Here's a look at what worked best this summer -- the Top Five with comparisons to last summer.

 

I. 2016

(1)     "Finding Dory"

         Studio: Disney/Pixar

         Rating: PG

         Genre: 3D animated family comedy adventure

         Opening: June 17 to $135.1 million.

         Domestic cume to date: $479.6 million.

         Notes: Sequel to "Finding Nemo," which did $380.8 million domestically in 2003.

 

(2)     "Captain America: Civil War"

         Studio: Disney/Marvel

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: 3D comic book driven fantasy action adventure

         Opening: May 6 to $179.1 million.

         Domestic cume: $407.8 million

         Notes: Franchise episode following "Captain America: ," which did $259.8 million domestically in 2014.

 

 (3)    "The Secret Life of Pets"

         Studio: Universal/Illumination Entertainment

         Rating: PG

         Genre: 3D family comedy animated adventure

         Opening: July 8 to $104.4 million.

         Domestic cume to date: $353.2 million

         Notes: From the humans behind "Despicable Me," which did $251.5 million domestically in 2010 and "Despicable Me 2," which did $368.1 million domestically in 2013.

 

(4)     "Suicide Squad"

         Studio: Warner Bros./DC Comics

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: 3D comic book driven comedy fantasy action adventure

         Opening: August 5 to $133.7 million.

         Domestic cume to date: $282.9 million

         Notes: Likened to "Deadpool," another lesser known comic book series (but from Marvel) revolving around anti-heroes, which did $363 million domestically via Fox after opening in February 2016.

 

(5)     "X-Men: Apocalypse"

         Studio: Fox/Marvel

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: 3D comic book driven fantasy action adventure

         Opening: May 27 to $65.8 million.

         Domestic cume: $155.4 million

         Notes: Franchise episode following "X-Men: Days of Future Past," which did $233.9 million domestically in 2014.

 

It's possible that Universal Pictures' PG-13 rated action thriller "Jason Bourne" might edge "X-Men: Apocalypse" out of fifth place by the end of Labor Day weekend. "Bourne's" cume is $149.4 million through last weekend, so it will have to do just over $6 million between now and Sept. 5 to take over the fifth slot. Last weekend, "Bourne" grossed $5.2 million in week five and was down 35 percent, so it will have to show great strength over Labor Day if it's going to move up to fifth position for the summer. "Apocalypse" is already out of theatres, so its cume isn't going to change.

As things now stand, the films that performed best this summer were either PG rated 3D animated adventures targeted to families or PG-13 rated comic book driven action adventures aimed at under-25 men. All five of the top hits were either franchise episodes or strongly related to previous blockbusters.

 Between them, this summer's Top Five grossed $1.679 billion in domestic theatres. That's about 37 percent of the summer's anticipated ticket sales of around $4.5 billion.

 

II. 2015

 

(1)     "Jurassic World"

         Studio: Universal/Amblin Entertainment/Legendary Pictures

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: 3D sci-fi action adventure

         Opening: June 12 to $208.8 million.

         Domestic cume: $652.3 million.

         Notes: Franchise episode following "Jurassic Park III," which did $181.2 million domestically in 2001.

 

(2)     "Avengers: Age of Ultron"

         Studio: Disney/Marvel

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: 3D comic book driven fantasy action adventure

         Opening: May 1 to $191.3 million.

         Domestic cume: $459 million

         Notes: Sequel to "Marvel's The Avengers," which did $623.4 million domestically in 2012.

 

 (3)    "Inside Out"

         Studio: Disney/Pixar

         Rating: PG

         Genre: 3D animated family comedy adventure

         Opening: July 8 to $104.4 million.

         Domestic cume: $350.4 million

         Notes: An original, but from well established brand names so moviegoers knew what to expect.

 

(4)     "Minions"

         Studio: Universal/Illumination Entertainment

         Rating: PG

         Genre: 3D family comedy animated adventure

         Opening: July 10 to $115.7 million.

         Domestic cume: $336 million

         Notes: From the humans behind "Despicable Me," which did $251.5 million domestically in 2010 and "Despicable Me 2," which did $368.1 million domestically in 2013.

 

(5)     "Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation"

         Studio: Paramount/Skydance Productions/Bad Robot

         Rating: PG-13

         Genre: action adventure thriller

         Opening: July 31 to $55.5 million.

         Domestic cume: $195 million

         Notes: Franchise episode following "Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol," which did $209.4 million domestically in 2011.

 

The films that dominated the summer of 2015 were either PG rated 3D animated adventures targeted to families or PG-13 rated action adventures – but with broader playability than the corresponding 2016 titles, which made a big difference. All of 2015's Top Five summer hits were either franchise episodes or strongly related to previous blockbusters.

 Between them, last summer's Top Five grossed $1.999 billion in domestic theatres. That's about 44 percent of the summer's ticket sales of approximately $4.5 billion.

Looking ahead to next summer, there's no shortage of titles that could wind up in the Top Five. There are a dozen films that sight unseen but based on their elements and genres could score big time at the boxoffice. That suggests the summer of 2017 could see a big boost from 2015 and '16's $4.5 billion range.

Summer '17 titles to keep an eye on as of now include:

"Guardians of the Galaxy 2"  -- May 5 from Disney/Marvel.

"Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales" -- May 26 from Disney/Jerry Bruckheimer Films.

"Wonder Woman" -- June 2 from Warner Bros./DC Comics."The Mummy" reboot -- June 9 from Universal/Sean
         Daniel Company.

"World War Z 2" -- June 9 from Paramount/Plan B Entertainment/Skydance Productions.

"Cars 3" -- June 16 from Disney/Pixar.

"Transformers: The Last Knight" -- June 23 from Paramount/Hasbro.

"Despicable Me 3" -- June 30 from Universal/Illumination Entertainment.

"Spider-Man: Homecoming" -- July 7 from    Sony/Marvel/Pascal Pictures.

"War for the Planet of the Apes" -- July 14 from Fox/Chernin Entertainment.

"Jumanji" reimagination -- July 28 from Sony/Radar Pictures.

"Alien: Covenant" -- Aug. 4 from Fox/Scott Free Productions.

Bottom line: Last weekend was another up frame at the boxoffice, with the overall marketplace nearly 32 percent ahead of this time last summer, per comScore. Last year, "Straight Outta Compton" was number one with $13.1 million in its third week.

Leading last weekend's pack were the R rated suspense thriller "Don't Breathe" from Screen Gems, Stage 6 Films and Ghost House Pictures with a strong $26.1 million opening; and Warner Bros. and DC Comics PG-13 rated action adventure fantasy comedy hit "Suicide Squad" in second place with $12.1 million and a domestic cume of $282.9 million after four weeks.

         The year-to-date domestic boxoffice, according to comScore, is up 5.5 percent -- $7.94 billion to date vs. $7.52 billion this time last year.